Saturday, January 30, 2016

NJournal 13.Nemetic analysis of Donald Trump

When observing a Nation State from the outside it looks like a neme. When observing a Nation State from the inside it looks like nemPlexity. Every nemPlexity is a connected collection of folded nTubes. In side the nTubes are connection folded nStrings.

To understand the American elections try to see we have numbers of different folded nTubes. The media talks about the "Tea Party" or "Religious Conservatives."That is the wrong label. The right label would have 3 different nTubes. One is right wing populism. Another are Protestant evangelicals. A third is mindful Conservatives which is the traditional Republican establishment.

Since Obama was elected, the politicians in Congress have synchronized all the nTubes with their Intent of winning power. Once the Republican establishment won control of the House of Representatives, the establishment had to disentangle themselves from the right wing populists and the evangelicals. They are no longer necessary to get power.

The National Review, an organ of Republican Conservatives founded by William Buckley, has come out strongly against Donald Trump. The Koch brothers said in an editorial in the Wall Street Journal that cannot support either Donald Trump or Ted Cruz.

Trump-like and Cruz-like were inevitable. Each is bringing coherence to different nTubes. It is likely the fault lines will lead to tectonic change. The Republican party of the last twenty years is has reached a non linear state change. Sooner or later they will come to a new equilibrium. My best guess is that it will take between 1 and 2 election cycles, from 4 to 8 years from 2016.

No comments:

Post a Comment